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Fundamental Analysis

Key Economic Events and Reports for the Week Ahead

On Tuesday, November 11, investors’ focus will be on the UK’s employment data for September, the German ZEW sentiment index for November and the EIA's short-term oil outlook. It will be critically...

Best Week for China Stocks in Three Months as Investors Anticipate Easing Tensions Between Washington and Beijing

China's blue-chip index closed near opening on Friday, but posted its best weekly result in three months amid rising odds of Biden's US election victory and hopes of easing tensions between Washington...

Chances are Slim for Trump to win, Equities Focus on the Odds of Stimulus Package

Buying frenzy has ebbed on equity markets on Friday as European shares, US futures and oil price went into decline. Implied probability of Biden win, calculated on the basis of bets on betting...

Divided US Government: Big Bullish Factor for US Stocks?

European equity markets, following Asian gains, surged on Thursday, cheering firming Biden's lead in the presidential elections. SPX futures advanced towards 3500 points after choppy price action on...
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The Crude Chronicles - Episode 61

Oil Traders Reduce Longs The latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that WTI traders reduced their net long positions last week by 18,258 contracts. This latest reduction takes the...

Contested Elections Still Remain High Risk for Global Equities

While both candidates in the US elections early declare themselves winners, investors prefer to wait for the voting results. However, the true outcome could remain uncertain for several days due to...
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US Elections Latest: Scenarios & Market Impact

Uncertainty As Final Voter Count ContinuesWith neither candidate having been granted a clear win yet, there is still plenty of uncertainty over how the elections will turn out. Biden is currently...

US Elections Latest: Biden Ahead But Trump Win Not Ruled Out

Four Years OnFour years ago today, those of us in Europe awoke to news that Donald Trump had won the US presidency. Despite polls and “smart money” suggesting Hilary Clinton would win, Trump...

FX Markets and US Elections: Medium-Term Outlook

Equity markets demonstrate buoyant behavior on Tuesday, anticipating a positive elections outcome. Vigorous upside on Monday followed by more cautious buying interest today. Futures on US indices...